The Coalition’s Record on Health: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015

David Cameron promised in 2010 to “cut the deficit, not the NHS”. But how have the Coalition’s policies – including health reforms which are widely viewed as going beyond election commitments – impacted on health?

– While the Coalition has ‘protected’ health relative to other expenditure areas, growth in real health spending has been exceptionally low by the standards of previous governments. Average annual growth rates have lagged behind the rates that are deemed necessary to maintain and extend NHS care in response to increasing need and demand.
– Forecasts warn of an NHS ‘funding gap’ as wide as £30bn by 2020/21 unless the growing pressures on services are offset by productivity gains and funding increases during the next Parliament.
– Major health reforms emphasising decentralization, competition and outcomes have been implemented. These have transformed the policy landscape for the commissioning, management and provision of health services in England. The overall framework for political responsibility and accountability for health services in England has also changed.
– Minimum care standards, inspection and quality regulation have been revised and strengthened following the Mid-Staffordshire NHS Foundation Trust Public Inquiry.
– Key indicators point to increasing pressure on healthcare access and quality. These include indicators on patient access to GPs, accident and emergency services and cancer care. Public satisfaction with the NHS is considerably lower than a peak reached in 2010.
– The UK’s ranking on OECD “international league tables” remained disappointing for some health outcomes including female life expectancy and infant mortality.
– Suicide and mental health problems remained more prevalent following the 2007 economic crisis.
– Health inequalities remained deeply entrenched. The difference in average life expectancy between men living in the poorest and most prosperous areas of England is nine years, and six years for women.

http://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/case/_new/news/year.asp?yyyy=2015#772

Tony Blair: Labour must search for answers and not merely aspire to be a repository for people’s anger

The centre has not shifted to the left, says Tony Blair. Labour must resist the easy option of tying itself to those forces whose anti-Tory shouts are loudest. 

The paradox of the financial crisis is that, despite being widely held to have been caused by under-regulated markets, it has not brought a decisive shift to the left. But what might happen is that the left believes such a shift has occurred and behaves accordingly. The risk, which is highly visible here in Britain, is that the country returns to a familiar left/right battle. The familiarity is because such a contest dominated the 20th century. The risk is because in the 21st century such a contest debilitates rather than advances the nation.

This is at present crystallising around debates over austerity, welfare, immigration and Europe. Suddenly, parts of the political landscape that had been cast in shadow for some years, at least under New Labour and the first years of coalition government, are illuminated in sharp relief. The Conser­vative Party is back clothing itself in the mantle of fiscal responsibility, buttressed by moves against “benefit scroungers”, immigrants squeezing out British workers and – of course – Labour profligacy.

The Labour Party is back as the party opposing “Tory cuts”, highlighting the cruel consequences of the Conservative policies on welfare and representing the disadvantaged and vulnerable (the Lib Dems are in a bit of a fix, frankly).

For the Conservatives, this scenario is less menacing than it seems. They are now going to inspire loathing on the left. But they’re used to that. They’re back on the old territory of harsh reality, tough decisions, piercing the supposed veil of idealistic fantasy that prevents the left from governing sensibly. Compassionate Conservatism mat­tered when compassion was in vogue. But it isn’t now. Getting the house in order is.

For Labour, the opposite is true. This scenario is more menacing than it seems. The ease with which it can settle back into its old territory of defending the status quo, allying itself, even anchoring itself, to the interests that will passionately and often justly oppose what the government is doing, is so apparently rewarding, that the exercise of political will lies not in going there, but in resisting the temptation to go there.

So where should progressive politics position itself, not just in Britain but in Europe as a whole? How do we oppose smartly and govern sensibly?

The guiding principle should be that we are the seekers after answers, not the repository for people’s anger. In the first case, we have to be dispassionate even when the issues arouse great passion. In the second case, we are simple fellow-travellers in sympathy; we are not leaders. And in these times, above all, people want leadership.

So, for Britain, start with an analysis of where we stand as a country. The financial crisis has not created the need for change; it has merely exposed it. Demographics – the age profile of our population – technology and globalisation all mean that the systems we created post-1945 have to change radically. This is so, irrespective of the financial catastrophe of 2008 and its aftermath.

Labour should be very robust in knocking down the notion that it “created” the crisis. In 2007/2008 the cyclically adjusted current Budget balance was under 1 per cent of GDP. Public debt was significantly below 1997. Over the whole 13 years, the debt-to-GDP ratio was better than the Conservative record from 1979-97. Of course there is a case for saying a tightening around 2005 would have been more prudent. But the effect of this pales into insignificance compared to the financial tsunami that occurred globally, starting with the sub-prime mortgage debacle in the US.

However, the crisis has occurred and no one can get permission to govern unless they deal with its reality. The more profound point is: even if it hadn’t happened, the case for fundamental reform of the postwar state is clear. For example:

What is driving the rise in housing benefit spending, and if it is the absence of housing, how do we build more?

 How do we improve the skillset of those who are unemployed when the shortage of skills is the clearest barrier to employment?

 How do we take the health and education reforms of the last Labour government to a new level, given the huge improvement in results they brought about?

 What is the right balance between universal and means-tested help for pensioners?

How do we use technology to cut costs and drive change in our education, health, crime and immigration systems?

 How do we focus on the really hard core of socially excluded families, separating them from those who are just temporarily down on their luck?

 What could the developments around DNA do to cut crime?

There are another 20 such questions, but they all involve this approach: a root-and-branch inquiry, from first principles, into where we spend money, and why.

On the economy, we should have one simple test: what produces growth and jobs? There is roughly $1trn (£650bn) of UK corporate reserves. What would give companies the confidence to invest it? What does a modern industrial strategy look like? How do we rebuild the financial sector? There is no need to provide every bit of detail. People don’t expect it. But they want to know where we’re coming from because that is a clue as to where we would go, if elected.

Sketch out the answers to these questions and you have a vision of the future. For progressives, that is of the absolute essence. The issue isn’t, and hasn’t been for at least 50 years, whether we believe in social justice. The issue is how progressive politics fulfils that mission as times, conditions and objective realities change around us. Having such a modern vision elevates the debate. It helps avoid the danger of tactical victories that lead to strategic defeats.

It means, for example, that we don’t tack right on immigration and Europe, and tack left on tax and spending. It keeps us out of our comfort zone but on a centre ground that is ultimately both more satisfying and more productive for party and country.

You are invited to read this free preview of the upcoming centenary issue of the New Statesman, out on 11 April. 

http://newstatesman100.tumblr.com/post/47687650241/tony-blair-labour-must-search-for-answers-and-not

The Spirit of ’45 – first look review | Film | guardian.co.uk

Ken Loach’s account of the Labour postwar programme of nationalisation favours reminiscence at the expense of detail, but it certainly packs an emotional punch

Andrew Pulver

guardian.co.uk, Monday 11 February 2013 11.25 GMT

Labour of love … a still from Ken Loach’s The Spirit of ’45

No one can accuse Ken Loach of sitting on the fence. This account of Labour’s postwar general election victory and the subsequent programme of nationalisation is about as partial as they come. In Loach’s eyes this was a glorious time, when the experiences of the second world war were put to era-changing use on a home front still crippled as much by the depression of the 1930s as by military expenditure. The rush of socialist enthusiasm ended dangerously exploitative conditions in heavy industry, rebuilt lousy housing and established a free-to-all medical service.

The Spirit of ’45

Production year: 2013

Country: UK

Directors: Ken Loach

More on this film

Well, Loach’s film certainly packs an emotional punch. He calls on a string of retirees – former mineworkers, nurses and the like – to tell their stories. It’s clear that a big part of Loach’s purpose is to confront the decades of media propaganda that have characterised unionised workers as overpaid shirkers, brakes on growth and “the enemy within”, as Loach’s principal bete noire, Margaret Thatcher, would have it. Indeed, as Loach presents it, this was a time when the union man (and woman) was a heroic figure, straddling the age and hewing the future with bare hands. It’s stirring stuff.

But I do have to confess to feeling a tiny bit disappointed. Although Loach’s film is certainly engaging – largely down to his spirited interviewees – there’s something a little sketchy about it. We know that this was an epoch-making period, that the 1945 election was great national drama, that Attlee was a great leader – but the film rushes through it all with little attempt at in-depth contextualisation. Loach’s aim is to favour memories and reminiscences (as the title indicates); I’d have liked the exhortatory tone leavened with more detail. Rather bafflingly, for example, he completely blanks that other great project of the 1945 Labour government, the disengagement from empire – the global impact of which has arguably been greater.

But it would be churlish to pick too many holes. This is clearly a subject Loach has great feeling for, even if he keeps himself scrupulously off camera. There’s a very contemporary purpose at work here too: to remind people, if nothing else, why the NHS is worth fighting for at the very moment it’s being dismantled. Films are rarely this committed or, indeed, persuasive.

via The Spirit of ’45 – first look review | Film | guardian.co.uk.

Accountability and transparency demand that Freedom of Information requirements should be an essential corollary of receiving public funding, throughout the whole of the NHS

Posted: 30 Jan 2013 05:15 AM PST

Changing patterns of provision for public services can have serious implications for existing standards of public accountability, converting large swathes of previously open and published information into ‘commercially confidential’ material kept secret by for-profit companies. Grahame Morris MP argues that the solution to this creeping decrease in accountability is to require that FOI rules on public disclosure apply even-handedly to all service providers within the NHS, whether they are in the public or private sectors.

In late January 2013 the Department of Health announced the formation of an expert panel within the Department advising the government on ‘Strengthening the NHS Constitution’. Replacing the older NHS Future Forum working group, this panel would “oversee the consultation on strengthening the NHS Constitution” and “develop a set of proposals to give the NHS Constitution greater traction so that patients, staff and the public are clear what to do, and who to turn to, when their expectations under the Constitution are not”. The Department also disclosed the Commercial Director of Virgin Care (that Dr Vivienne McVey), has become a member of an expert panel within the Department advising the government on ‘Strengthening the NHS Constitution’. Now Virgin Care is actively involved in bidding for lucrative NHS contracts up and down the country, and is now controversially running some NHS services in Southern England. So Dr McVey’s company is just one of a number of private companies, from home and abroad, now bidding for an estimated £7 billion of NHS contracts that have in recent months been put out to tender. In common with other private healthcare companies, Virgin Care stated in an interview to the Financial Times that it intends to make an 8 per cent profit from NHS contracts, which are financed by us, the taxpayer.

The question any reasonable observer might ask is what possible interest could Virgin Care have in ‘strengthening’ the NHS constitution, when their business model would seem to be premised on public provision performing poorly? So taxpayers and patients may justifiably ask if Virgin Care’s Commercial Director is the best person to take up this important advisory position. Most people accept that transparency is a key tenet of a strong NHS. So what might Dr McKay have to say about the current bidding practices for NHS contracts that allow commercial organisations such as Virgin Care to withhold details of those bids under the cloak of ‘commercial confidentiality’, while NHS Trusts have to reveal all and are subject to the Freedom of Information Act? Does Dr McKay and Virgin Care support the extension of the FOI Act to follow the public pound to include private medical firms running parts of our NHS?

These considerations, together with substantial support from community activists campaigning against the fragmentation and privatisation of our NHS, lead me to table a Parliamentary Early Day Motion calling for private health care companies also to be subject to the Freedom of Information Act. It has attracted the signatures of 85 MPs from 7 different parties and it has received plenty of supportive comment in the media, including in The Guardian. If you, like me believe that our NHS should not be put up for sale through secretive bidding processes, please ask your MP to sign as well. Details of the motion (known as EDM 773) are as follows:

‘That this House notes that

the most significant development that has followed from the Government’s healthcare reforms has been the 7 billion worth of new contracts being made available to the private health sector;

further notes that at least five former advisers to the Prime Minister and the Chancellor of the Exchequer are now working for lobbying firms with private healthcare clients;

recalls the Prime Minister’s own reported remarks prior to the general election when he described lobbying as `the next big scandal waiting to happen’;

recognises the growing scandal of the procurement model that favours the private health sector over the NHS, by allowing private companies to hide behind commercial confidentiality and which compromises the best practice aspirations of the public sector;

condemns the practice of revolving doors, whereby Government health advisers move to lucrative contracts in the private healthcare sector, especially at a time when the privatisation of the NHS is proceeding by stealth;

is deeply concerned at the unfair advantages being handed to private healthcare companies; and

demands that in future all private healthcare companies be subject to freedom of information requests under the terms of the Freedom of Information Act 2000 in the same way as existing NHS public sector organisations’ .

Over the years there have been many campaigns launched to save our NHS, but never has there been a more important time as now, to do just that. Achieving a level playing field in bids for NHS contracts is only a start. In my own view, the next Labour Government needs to move to take the ‘for profit’ sector out of public health and our NHS, once and for all.

Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of the British Politics and Policy blog, nor of the London School of Economics. Please read our comments policy before posting.

About the author

Grahame Morris MP is the Labour Member of Parliament for Easington.

NHS cancer figures contradict David Cameron and Andrew Lansley’s claims

The prime minister and health secretary have criticised the NHS on cancer, but new figures suggest the service is a world leader

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Comments (134)
Denis Campbell, health correspondent
guardian.co.uk, Monday 7 November 2011 18.48 GMT
Article history

Andrew Lansley and David Cameron, who have used criticisms of the NHS record on cancer to justify a planned shakeup. Photograph: Dan Kitwood/PA
David Cameron and Andrew Lansley’s repeated criticisms of the NHS’s record on cancer have been contradicted by new research that shows the health service to be an international leader in tackling the disease.

The findings challenge the government’s claims that NHS failings on cancer contribute to 5,000-10,000 unnecessary cancer deaths a year, which ministers have used as a key reason for pushing through their radical shakeup of the service.

In fact, the NHS in England and Wales has helped achieve the biggest drop in cancer deaths and displayed the most efficient use of resources among 10 leading countries worldwide, according to the study published in the British Journal of Cancer.

“These results challenge the feeble justification of the government’s changes, which appear to be based upon overhyped media representation, rather than hard comparable evidence. This paper should be a real boost to cancer patients and their families because the NHS’s performance on cancer is much better than the media presents. It challenges the government’s assertion that the NHS is inefficient and ineffective at treating cancer – an argument for reforming the NHS,” said Prof Colin Pritchard, a health academic at Bournemouth University.

He co-wrote the research with Dr Tamas Hickish, a consultant medical oncologist at Poole and Royal Bournemouth and Christchurch hospitals in Dorset.

The research shows that ministers have misrepresented the NHS’s record on cancer in order to gain support for their unpopular shakeup, said Pritchard.

The prime minister and the health secretary have said that both survival and death rates from the disease in Britain are low by international standards. Cameron, for example, claimed during last year’s general election campaign that Britain had a higher rate of cancer deaths than Bulgaria.

The authors studied cancer mortality and the amount of GDP spent on healthcare between 1979 and 2006 in England and Wales and nine other countries, including Germany, the US, Spain, Japan and France.

While cancer deaths fell everywhere, England and Wales saw the biggest drop in mortality among males aged 15-74 – down 31%. While six countries saw falls of at least 20%, England and Wales – which in 1979-81 had the third highest rate with 4,156 deaths per million men – improved the most, achieving the fifth lowest rate among the 10 countries by 2004-06 with 2,869 deaths per million. Among men aged 55-64 and 65-74, who are more likely to get cancer, mortality dropped by 35% and 28%.

While mortality among women the same age declined by less, at 19%, that was the third biggest improvement after Japan (23%) and Germany (20%).

And the NHS was the most efficient of the 10 countries at reducing cancer mortality ratios once the proportions of GDP spent on healthcare were compared, the study found. While England and Wales spent less on health than most others, they achieved the biggest overall annual fall in cancer mortality over the 27-year period, of 900 deaths per million. Once average GDP spending on healthcare was compared, the NHS saw the biggest fall in male and female cancer deaths of an extra 119 lives a year per 1% of GDP spent, ahead of the Netherlands (74) and almost double that in Germany (68), France (67) and Japan (60).

“That shows how good England and Wales are on cancer care, relative to spend. We do significantly more with proportionately less. It means that 34,484 people are alive today that wouldn’t have been if things had not improved since 1980,” said Pritchard.

Two authoritative studies have concluded that cancer survival rates in the UK have lagged behind those in comparable major developed countries, though experts dispute which indicators give the most accurate picture of Britain’s cancer performance. For example, Prof John Appleby, chief economist at the King’s Fund health thinktank, published research in the British Medical Journal earlier this year which disputed the portrayal of Britain as “the sick man of Europe” and argued that cancer survival rates had been improving, significantly in the case of breast cancer.

Duleep Allirajah, policy manager at Macmillan Cancer Support, said: “In the past 10 years cancer services in the UK have improved dramatically. Waiting times have decreased and services have been modernised.” But, with cancer survival improving, the NHS now has to address new challenges, notably improving care for patients who have undergone treatment.

“Far too many people in the UK still experience sometimes serious problems related to their cancer treatment. For many these can persist up to 10 years after treatment. The focus now must be for the government and the NHS to address the issues of aftercare and making sure cancer is treated as a long term condition,” said Allirajah.

Pritchard said: “David Cameron and Andrew Lansley are happier with NHS ‘bad news’ stories rather than, as our research shows, that we should celebrate the NHS which, in monetary terms, is vastly superior to the private healthcare system of the USA.

“Of course we should always be looking to improve. But the only way to judge the NHS is to compare it with other countries, which shows that we are still getting the NHS on the comparative cheap.”

The Department of Health declined to respond directly to Pritchard and Hickish’s findings. “There is a difference between achieving efficiency and the results patients receive. While it is good that NHS cancer treatment is relatively efficient, we know that the results patients actually get lag behind many other countries,” said a spokesman.

“Our cancer strategy is clear – we aim to save 5,000 lives extra every year by 2015 which will bring us up to the level achieved in many other comparable countries. We owe it to patients to deliver standards which are up there with the best in the world,” he added.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2011/nov/07/nhs-cancer-figures-cameron-lansley